USA NPN National Phenology Network

Taking the Pulse of Our Planet

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Gypsy moth caterpillar eating a leaf.

Gypsy moths were introduced in Massachusetts 150 years ago, by an amateur entomologist seeking an alternative to silk worms.

Image credit:
CharlesC (Wikipedia)

Gypsy Moth Forecast

European gypsy moth caterpillars feed on deciduous trees, causing major defoliation and tree mortality. They are considered one of the worst forest pests in the United States.

Gypsy moth current day forecast

Gypsy Moth Current Day Forecast.

Gypsy moth six day forecast

Gypsy Moth 6-Day Forecast.

Pheno Forecast maps predict key life cycle stages in invasive and pest species, to improve management efficacy.  For insect pest species, Pheno Forecasts are based on published growing degree day (GDD) thresholds for key points in species life cycles. These key points typically represent life cycle stages when management actions are most effective. These maps are updated daily and available 6 days in the future.

Help us improve these maps! Our Pheno Forecast map products are still in development, and we seek input on their performance in your area. Give your feedback on the sidebar on the right side of this page.

Species Background

Gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar) egg masses hatch in late spring and the caterpillars feed extensively on many types of trees, favoring oaks, birches and poplars.  Gypsy moth caterpillars spend the day hidden in leaf litter or under bark, and ascend their tree at night to feed. Gypsy moths are native to Europe and Asia. 

Caterpillar Forecast

Gypsy moth caterpillar. Photo Credit: Distant Hill Gardens via Flickr.We forecast caterpillar emergence based on growing degree days. Certain control measures are most effective when caterpillars have recently emerged from their egg masses. For specific information on preferred treatment options in your region, we recommend contacting your local extension agent. Additional identification and treatment resources are available through USDA APHIS and UMass Extension.

Phenophase

GDD threshold

Base temp

Upper threshold

Start date

GDD method

Model origin

Source

Caterpillar emergence

571oF

37.5oF

 

104oF

Jan 1

Double sine

PA and WV

Russo et al (1993)

More information on map development and re-use policy.

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